Riskmonster.com

3768 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Standard
¥557.00
+0.91%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3768
Riskmonster.com
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥557.00
Close used for this calculation
¥714.65Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
62/100
Profitability14/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet20/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth20/25
Good
Quality radar
62Prof.14/25Ret.12/25Eff.16/25B.Sht20/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

¥714.65
Below FV
▲ +28.3% against the close used
Model range ¥90.94 – ¥1,439.54
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥90.94Fair value¥714.65Bull¥1,439.54
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥494.0052W high ¥619.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Riskmonster.com closed at ¥557.00, 22.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥714.65 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 18.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥554.78
-0.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥727.97
+30.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=29.6, BVPS=795.71
P/E Fair Value
¥592.00
+6.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=29.6, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥488.10
-12.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=29.6, g=16.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,439.54
+158.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.11B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥203.82
-63.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=15.99, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥90.94
-83.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=795.71, ROE=3.8%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥557.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.3% | Historical: -16.5%
Margin of Safety
¥468.69
-15.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=624.92, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.