ASTERIA Corporation

3853 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Prime
¥1,060.00
-3.02%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3853
ASTERIA Corporation
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥1,060.00
Close used for this calculation
¥727.33Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability22/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency6/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.22/25Ret.10/25Eff.6/25B.Sht21/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥727.33
Above FV
▼ -31.4% against the close used
Model range ¥476.72 – ¥1,198.69
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥476.72Fair value¥727.33Bull¥1,198.69
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥946.0052W high ¥2,750.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

ASTERIA Corporation closed at ¥1,060.00, 45.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥727.33 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 22.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥616.74
-41.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥652.10
-38.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=48.14, BVPS=392.59 · outside Graham range (P/E 22, P/B 2.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥962.80
-9.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=48.14, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,198.69
+13.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=48.14, g=24.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥772.72
-27.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.33B
Book Value (P/B)
¥476.72
-55.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=392.59, ROE=11.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,060.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.4% | Historical: -24.9%
Margin of Safety
¥557.91
-47.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=743.88, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.