Mitsubishi Paper Mills Limited

3864 TSE Materials Pulp and Paper
TSE Prime
¥1,169.00
-1.02%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3864
Mitsubishi Paper Mills Limited
MaterialsPulp and Paper
¥1,169.00
Close used for this calculation
¥862.49Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
33/100
Profitability13/25
Returns7/25
Balance Sheet6/25
Efficiency7/25
Growth9/25
Weak
Quality radar
33Prof.13/25Ret.7/25Eff.7/25B.Sht6/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥862.49
Above FV
▼ -26.2% against the close used
Model range ¥467.60 – ¥1,510.46
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥467.60Fair value¥862.49Bull¥1,510.46
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥601.0052W high ¥1,226.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Mitsubishi Paper Mills Limited closed at ¥1,169.00, 35.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥862.49 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 33/100 — Weak. P/E of 27.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥860.85
-26.4%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,510.46
+29.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=43.37, BVPS=2338
P/E Fair Value
¥867.40
-25.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=43.37, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥639.71
-45.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=43.37, g=14.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥889.03
-23.9%
(EBITDA × 17.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.79B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥808.01
-30.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=14.96, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥467.60
-60.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2338, ROE=2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,169.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11.2% | Historical: 14.8%
Margin of Safety
¥809.68
-30.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1079.57, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.