Hatena Co.,Ltd.

3930 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Growth
¥799.00
+0.50%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3930
Hatena Co.,Ltd.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥799.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,515.31Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
69/100
Profitability13/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth11/25
Strong
Quality radar
69Prof.13/25Ret.15/25Eff.18/25B.Sht23/25Growth11/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,515.31
Below FV
▲ +89.7% against the close used
Model range ¥585.18 – ¥4,222.77
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥585.18Fair value¥1,515.31Bull¥4,222.77
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥723.0052W high ¥1,353.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Hatena Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥799.00, 47.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,515.31 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 69/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,222.77
+428.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7.5%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,281.19
+60.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=77.61, BVPS=940
P/E Fair Value
¥1,552.20
+94.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=77.61, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥585.18
-26.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=77.61, g=7.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,191.58
+174.3%
(EBITDA × 13.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=473.47M
Book Value (P/B)
¥611.00
-23.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=940, ROE=8.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥799.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.9% | Historical: 7.5%
Margin of Safety
¥1,764.04
+120.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2352.05, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.