Superbag Company,Limited

3945 TSE Materials Pulp and Paper
TSE Standard
¥2,163.00
-0.41%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3945
Superbag Company,Limited
MaterialsPulp and Paper
¥2,163.00
Close used for this calculation
¥5,426.60Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
60/100
Profitability4/25
Returns21/25
Balance Sheet10/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth13/25
Good
Quality radar
60Prof.4/25Ret.21/25Eff.25/25B.Sht10/25Growth13/25

Consensus fair value

¥5,426.60
Below FV
▲ +150.9% against the close used
Model range ¥1,403.73 – ¥10,785.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,403.73Fair value¥5,426.60Bull¥10,785.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,090.0052W high ¥2,956.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Superbag Company,Limited closed at ¥2,163.00, 60.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,426.60 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 4.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥10,107.66
+367.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥6,726.93
+211.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=539.29, BVPS=3729.31
P/E Fair Value
¥10,785.80
+398.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=539.29, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥5,409.75
+150.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.04B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,403.73
-35.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=110.1, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥6,712.76
+210.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3729.31, ROE=15.6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,163.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -10% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥6,905.10
+219.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=9206.8, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.