OHMURA SHIGYO CO.,LTD.

3953 TSE Materials Pulp and Paper
TSE Standard
¥780.00
-0.26%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3953
OHMURA SHIGYO CO.,LTD.
MaterialsPulp and Paper
¥780.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,030.24Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
74/100
Profitability19/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
74Prof.19/25Ret.15/25Eff.25/25B.Sht15/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,030.24
Below FV
▲ +160.3% against the close used
Model range ¥469.44 – ¥3,028.04
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥469.44Fair value¥2,030.24Bull¥3,028.04
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥736.0052W high ¥873.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

OHMURA SHIGYO CO.,LTD. closed at ¥780.00, 61.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,030.24 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 74/100 — Strong. P/E of 7.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,039.49
+161.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,827.40
+134.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=102.75, BVPS=1444.44
P/E Fair Value
¥2,055.00
+163.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=102.75, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,028.04
+288.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=102.75, g=29.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,670.45
+242.4%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=528.4M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,621.62
+107.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=30.03, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥469.44
-39.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1444.44, ROE=7.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥780.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -6.2% | Historical: 29.5%
Margin of Safety
¥1,480.47
+89.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1973.96, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.