CHANGE Holdings,Inc.

3962 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Prime
¥957.00
-1.34%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3962
CHANGE Holdings,Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥957.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,022.29Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
83/100
Profitability21/25
Returns21/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency23/25
Growth23/25
Exceptional
Quality radar
83Prof.21/25Ret.21/25Eff.23/25B.Sht18/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,022.29
Below FV
▲ +111.3% against the close used
Model range ¥1,144.18 – ¥3,275.96
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,144.18Fair value¥2,022.29Bull¥3,275.96
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥893.0052W high ¥1,198.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

CHANGE Holdings,Inc. closed at ¥957.00, 52.7% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,022.29 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 83/100 — Exceptional. P/E of 9.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,961.74
+105.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,144.18
+19.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=99.71, BVPS=583.54
P/E Fair Value
¥1,994.20
+108.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=99.71, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,231.51
+133.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=99.71, g=22.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,275.96
+242.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=13.87B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,240.27
+29.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=22.97, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,426.75
+49.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=583.54, ROE=15.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥957.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.9% | Historical: 22.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,275.03
+33.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1700.04, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.