Segue Group Co.,Ltd.

3968 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Prime
¥615.00
+0.33%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3968
Segue Group Co.,Ltd.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥615.00
Close used for this calculation
¥779.43Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
54/100
Profitability17/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet1/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth23/25
Good
Quality radar
54Prof.17/25Ret.18/25Eff.18/25B.Sht1/25Growth23/25

Consensus fair value

¥779.43
Below FV
▲ +26.7% against the close used
Model range ¥330.87 – ¥1,068.84
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥330.87Fair value¥779.43Bull¥1,068.84
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥486.0052W high ¥801.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Segue Group Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥615.00, 21.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥779.43 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 16.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥745.93
+21.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥330.87
-46.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=37.58, BVPS=129.47 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.4, P/B 4.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥751.60
+22.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=37.58, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,022.93
+66.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=37.58, g=27.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,068.84
+73.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.06B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥700.73
+13.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=12.98, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥893.37
+45.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=129.47, ROE=33.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥615.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.4% | Historical: 27.2%
Margin of Safety
¥457.10
-25.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=609.47, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.