Needs Well Inc.

3992 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Prime
¥464.00
-0.64%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

3992
Needs Well Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥464.00
Close used for this calculation
¥456.65Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
67/100
Profitability19/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth15/25
Strong
Quality radar
67Prof.19/25Ret.11/25Eff.16/25B.Sht21/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥456.65
Near FV
▼ -1.6% against the close used
Model range ¥257.41 – ¥648.95
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥257.41Fair value¥456.65Bull¥648.95
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥398.0052W high ¥616.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Needs Well Inc. closed at ¥464.00, 1.6% above the consensus fair value of ¥456.65 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 19.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥411.67
-11.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥257.41
-44.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=23.42, BVPS=125.75 · outside Graham range (P/E 19.8, P/B 3.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥468.40
+0.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=23.42, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥479.64
+3.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=23.42, g=20.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥583.82
+25.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.23B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥648.95
+39.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=12.02, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥433.82
-6.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=125.75, ROE=19.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥464.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7% | Historical: 20.5%
Margin of Safety
¥284.37
-38.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=379.16, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.