Stmn,Inc.

4019 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Growth
¥611.00
-1.77%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4019
Stmn,Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥611.00
Close used for this calculation
¥494.75Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
44/100
Profitability19/25
Returns7/25
Balance Sheet8/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Average
Quality radar
44Prof.19/25Ret.7/25Eff.10/25B.Sht8/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥494.75
Above FV
▼ -19.0% against the close used
Model range ¥300.26 – ¥712.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥300.26Fair value¥494.75Bull¥712.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥554.0052W high ¥1,320.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Stmn,Inc. closed at ¥611.00, 23.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥494.75 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 44/100 — Average. P/E of 25.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥471.22
-22.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥300.26
-50.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=23.74, BVPS=168.78 · outside Graham range (P/E 25.7, P/B 3.6) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥474.80
-22.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=23.74, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥712.20
+16.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=23.74, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥672.11
+10.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=330.16M
Book Value (P/B)
¥375.55
-38.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=168.78, ROE=14.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥611.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 10.5% | Historical: 54.2%
Margin of Safety
¥311.57
-49.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=415.43, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.