Nippon Soda Co.,Ltd.

4041 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥3,850.00
+1.05%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4041
Nippon Soda Co.,Ltd.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥3,850.00
Close used for this calculation
¥5,108.83Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
72/100
Profitability15/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth16/25
Strong
Quality radar
72Prof.15/25Ret.11/25Eff.25/25B.Sht21/25Growth16/25

Consensus fair value

¥5,108.83
Below FV
▲ +32.7% against the close used
Model range ¥3,144.80 – ¥8,648.64
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥3,144.80Fair value¥5,108.83Bull¥8,648.64
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,305.0052W high ¥4,185.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Nippon Soda Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥3,850.00, 24.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,108.83 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 72/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,844.35
-0.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,372.54
+39.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=336.54, BVPS=3811.88
P/E Fair Value
¥6,730.80
+74.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=336.54, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,217.32
-16.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=336.54, g=9.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,330.82
+38.5%
(EBITDA × 14.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=23.12B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥8,648.64
+124.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=160.16, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,144.80
-18.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3811.88, ROE=9.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,850.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.4% | Historical: 9.6%
Margin of Safety
¥3,986.92
+3.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=5315.9, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.