OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD.

4046 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥1,969.00
+0.05%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4046
OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,969.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,166.70Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Profitability19/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth14/25
Strong
Quality radar
66Prof.19/25Ret.10/25Eff.16/25B.Sht21/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,166.70
Near FV
▲ +10.0% against the close used
Model range ¥1,509.83 – ¥2,859.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,509.83Fair value¥2,166.70Bull¥2,859.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,585.0052W high ¥2,443.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

OSAKA SODA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,969.00, 9.1% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,166.70 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 15.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,124.04
+7.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,709.13
-13.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=123.96, BVPS=1047.34 · outside Graham range (P/E 15.9, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,479.20
+25.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=123.96, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,626.36
-17.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=123.96, g=13.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,859.80
+45.2%
(EBITDA × 16.6x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=21.97B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,509.83
-23.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=27.96, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,754.30
-10.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1047.34, ROE=12.7%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,969.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4% | Historical: 13.1%
Margin of Safety
¥1,578.09
-19.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2104.12, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.