Shin-Etsu Chemical Co.,Ltd.
TSE Prime
¥5,738.00
-0.42%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
4063
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co.,Ltd.
¥5,738.00
Close used for this calculation
¥3,861.54Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
56/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
¥3,861.54
Above FV▼ -32.7% against the close used
Model range ¥331.02 – ¥5,053.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥331.02Fair value¥3,861.54Bull¥5,053.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥4,413.0052W high ¥7,806.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥5,738.00, 48.6% above the consensus fair value of ¥3,861.54 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 22.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,583.85
-37.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,694.59
-35.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=252.69, BVPS=2400.84 · outside Graham range (P/E 22.7, P/B 2.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥5,053.80
-11.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=252.69, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥331.02
-94.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=252.69, g=1.3%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,547.47
-20.7%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=878.18B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,353.45
-76.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=106.15, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,538.03
-55.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2400.84, ROE=10.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥5,738.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.9% | Historical: -1.3%
Margin of Safety
¥3,083.06
-46.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4110.75, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.