The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥628.84Fair value¥1,939.93Bull¥2,621.33
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,997.0052W high ¥2,782.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
NIHON KAGAKU SANGYO CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,240.00, 15.5% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,939.93 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 56/100 — Good. P/E of 19.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,769.31
-21.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,621.33
+17.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=117.25, BVPS=2604.65
P/E Fair Value
¥2,345.00
+4.7%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=117.25, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥981.38
-56.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=117.25, g=8.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,316.81
+3.4%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.51B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,148.11
-48.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=90.05, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥628.84
-71.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2604.65, ROE=4.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,240.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 6.5% | Historical: -8.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,683.91
-24.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2245.21, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.