Hodogaya Chemical Co.,Ltd.
TSE Prime
¥2,043.00
-1.78%
Delayed · cached 15 min
Fair value analysis
4112
Hodogaya Chemical Co.,Ltd.
¥2,043.00
Close used for this calculation
¥3,310.46Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
64/100
Quality radar
Consensus fair value
¥3,310.46
Below FV▲ +62.0% against the close used
Model range ¥297.71 – ¥3,949.70
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥297.71Fair value¥3,310.46Bull¥3,949.70
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,705.0052W high ¥2,610.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Hodogaya Chemical Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,043.00, 38.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,310.46 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 64/100 — Good. P/E of 10.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,599.88
+76.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,773.63
+84.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=192.07, BVPS=3295.16
P/E Fair Value
¥3,841.40
+88.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=192.07, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥297.71
-85.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=192.07, g=1.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,949.70
+93.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=7.12B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥638.18
-68.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=50.05, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,412.21
-30.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3295.16, ROE=6%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,043.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.5% | Historical: -1.6%
Margin of Safety
¥2,803.73
+37.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3738.3, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.