The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥461.53Fair value¥1,541.63Bull¥2,067.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥801.0052W high ¥1,546.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
OVERLAP Holdings,Inc. closed at ¥836.00, 45.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,541.63 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 72/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,937.23
+131.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥749.61
-10.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=103.36, BVPS=241.62 · outside Graham range (P/E 8.1, P/B 3.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,067.20
+147.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=103.36, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥1,337.78
+60.0%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.28B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥461.53
-44.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=36.2, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥854.64
+2.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=241.62, ROE=27.8%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥836.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -5.3% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥1,188.51
+42.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1584.68, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.