coconala Inc.

4176 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Growth
¥273.00
-1.44%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4176
coconala Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥273.00
Close used for this calculation
¥226.31Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
48/100
Profitability17/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet13/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Average
Quality radar
48Prof.17/25Ret.8/25Eff.10/25B.Sht13/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥226.31
Above FV
▼ -17.1% against the close used
Model range ¥158.49 – ¥392.10
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥158.49Fair value¥226.31Bull¥392.10
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥241.0052W high ¥544.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

coconala Inc. closed at ¥273.00, 20.6% above the consensus fair value of ¥226.31 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 48/100 — Average. P/E of 20.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥210.57
-22.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥161.98
-40.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=13.07, BVPS=89.22 · outside Graham range (P/E 20.9, P/B 3.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥261.40
-4.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=13.07, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥392.10
+43.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=13.07, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥202.70
-25.8%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=320.77M
Book Value (P/B)
¥191.81
-29.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=89.22, ROE=14.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥273.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.7% | Historical: 65.3%
Margin of Safety
¥158.49
-41.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=211.32, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.