The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,242.09Fair value¥1,737.64Bull¥2,318.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,562.6052W high ¥1,937.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
BLUE ZONES HOLDINGS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,899.00, 9.3% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,737.64 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 42/100 — Average. P/E of 16.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,272.11
-33.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,597.77
-15.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=115.91, BVPS=978.87 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.4, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,318.20
+22.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=115.91, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥2,269.39
+19.5%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=52.38B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,242.09
-34.6%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=97.42, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,314.48
-30.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=978.87, ROE=12.4%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,899.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.5% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥1,297.02
-31.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1729.36, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.