Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation

4188 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥1,156.50
-2.36%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4188
Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,156.50
Close used for this calculation
¥468.19Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
43/100
Profitability14/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet12/25
Efficiency7/25
Growth15/25
Average
Quality radar
43Prof.14/25Ret.10/25Eff.7/25B.Sht12/25Growth15/25

Consensus fair value

¥468.19
Above FV
▼ -59.5% against the close used
Model range ¥52.09 – ¥552.15
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥52.09Fair value¥468.19Bull¥552.15
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥806.1052W high ¥1,283.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Mitsubishi Chemical Group Corporation closed at ¥1,156.50, 147.0% above the consensus fair value of ¥468.19 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 43/100 — Average. P/E of 134.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥161.75
-86.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥318.05
-72.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=8.63, BVPS=520.95 · outside Graham range (P/E 134, P/B 2.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥172.60
-85.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=8.63, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥258.90
-77.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=8.63, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥552.15
-52.3%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=301.24B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥408.45
-64.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=32.04, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥52.09
-95.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=520.95, ROE=1%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,156.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 33.3% | Historical: -49.2%
Margin of Safety
¥163.10
-85.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=217.47, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.