The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥468.91Fair value¥2,258.39Bull¥3,214.06
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,916.0052W high ¥2,410.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
Fabrica Holdings Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,146.00, 5.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,258.39 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 17.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,834.59
+32.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=3.8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,385.19
-35.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=124.38, BVPS=685.62 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.3, P/B 3.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,487.60
+15.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=124.38, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥468.91
-78.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=124.38, g=3.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,214.06
+49.8%
(EBITDA × 11.9x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.45B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥632.68
-70.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=37.98, r=10%, g=3.8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,632.07
-23.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=685.62, ROE=18.6%, g=3.8%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,146.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.2% | Historical: 3.8%
Margin of Safety
¥1,676.85
-21.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2235.79, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.