Daicel Corporation

4202 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥1,393.00
-0.39%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4202
Daicel Corporation
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,393.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,085.70Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
51/100
Profitability14/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth17/25
Good
Quality radar
51Prof.14/25Ret.11/25Eff.11/25B.Sht15/25Growth17/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,085.70
Above FV
▼ -22.1% against the close used
Model range ¥179.14 – ¥2,146.35
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥179.14Fair value¥1,085.70Bull¥2,146.35
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,140.0052W high ¥1,653.50

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Daicel Corporation closed at ¥1,393.00, 28.3% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,085.70 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 51/100 — Good. P/E of 36.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥179.14
-87.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,102.05
-20.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=38.75, BVPS=1393 · outside Graham range (P/E 36, P/B 1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥775.00
-44.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=38.75, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥947.44
-32.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=38.75, g=24.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,146.35
+54.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=85.4B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥765.49
-45.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=60.04, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥397.00
-71.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1393, ROE=2.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,393.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 15% | Historical: -24.5%
Margin of Safety
¥514.05
-63.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=685.4, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.