Aica Kogyo Company,Limited

4206 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥4,118.00
+0.15%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4206
Aica Kogyo Company,Limited
ChemicalsChemicals
¥4,118.00
Close used for this calculation
¥5,593.89Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
67/100
Profitability13/25
Returns16/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth16/25
Strong
Quality radar
67Prof.13/25Ret.16/25Eff.20/25B.Sht18/25Growth16/25

Consensus fair value

¥5,593.89
Below FV
▲ +35.8% against the close used
Model range ¥345.79 – ¥8,132.08
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥345.79Fair value¥5,593.89Bull¥8,132.08
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥3,359.0052W high ¥4,206.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Aica Kogyo Company,Limited closed at ¥4,118.00, 26.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥5,593.89 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 13.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥345.79
-91.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥4,477.87
+8.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=296.48, BVPS=3005.84
P/E Fair Value
¥5,929.60
+44.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=296.48, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,677.21
-35.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=296.48, g=9%
EV/EBITDA
¥8,132.08
+97.5%
(EBITDA × 14.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=37.54B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥7,449.46
+80.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=137.95, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,156.13
-23.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3005.84, ROE=10.2%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥4,118.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.2% | Historical: 9%
Margin of Safety
¥2,688.32
-34.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3584.42, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.