The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥228.69Fair value¥2,159.51Bull¥2,828.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,230.0052W high ¥1,620.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
POVAL KOGYO CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,395.00, 35.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,159.51 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 74/100 — Strong. P/E of 9.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,513.35
+8.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,697.74
+93.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=141.44, BVPS=2286.89
P/E Fair Value
¥2,828.80
+102.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=141.44, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,049.48
-24.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=141.44, g=7.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,825.68
+102.6%
(EBITDA × 13.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=559.05M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,707.60
+22.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=41.01, r=10%, g=7.4%
Book Value (P/B)
¥228.69
-83.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2286.89, ROE=6.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,395.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -2.5% | Historical: 7.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,759.97
+26.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2346.63, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.