KEIWA Incorporated

4251 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥1,145.00
-1.04%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4251
KEIWA Incorporated
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,145.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,736.14Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
71/100
Profitability10/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth14/25
Strong
Quality radar
71Prof.10/25Ret.15/25Eff.25/25B.Sht21/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,736.14
Below FV
▲ +51.6% against the close used
Model range ¥373.56 – ¥3,368.16
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥373.56Fair value¥1,736.14Bull¥3,368.16
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,121.0052W high ¥1,399.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

KEIWA Incorporated closed at ¥1,145.00, 34.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,736.14 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 71/100 — Strong. P/E of 9.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥620.93
-45.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,879.84
+64.2%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=122.08, BVPS=1286.52
P/E Fair Value
¥2,441.60
+113.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=122.08, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥373.56
-67.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=122.08, g=3.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,368.16
+194.2%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=6.39B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥509.50
-55.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=39.96, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,231.38
+7.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1286.52, ROE=9.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,145.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.2% | Historical: -3.1%
Margin of Safety
¥1,235.59
+7.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1647.46, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.