The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥556.47Fair value¥2,171.66Bull¥3,562.19
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,361.5052W high ¥2,180.50
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
NIPPON KAYAKU CO.,LTD. closed at ¥2,036.00, 6.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,171.66 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 69/100 — Strong. P/E of 12.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥556.47
-72.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,614.71
+28.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=161.18, BVPS=1885.19
P/E Fair Value
¥3,223.60
+58.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=161.18, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,519.93
-25.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=161.18, g=9.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,342.82
+64.2%
(EBITDA × 14.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=38.07B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,562.19
+75.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=65.97, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,413.89
-30.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1885.19, ROE=9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,036.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.9% | Historical: 9.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,598.70
-21.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2131.59, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.