The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥86.81Fair value¥1,129.70Bull¥1,425.24
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥995.0052W high ¥1,786.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
HOSOYA PYRO-ENGINEERING CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,172.00, 3.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,129.70 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 22.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥1,276.97
+9.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,020.36
-12.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=53.3, BVPS=868.15 · outside Graham range (P/E 22, P/B 1.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,066.00
-9.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=53.3, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥742.47
-36.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=53.3, g=13.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,425.24
+21.6%
(EBITDA × 17x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=365.95M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥810.09
-30.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=15, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥86.81
-92.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=868.15, ROE=6.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,172.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 8.4% | Historical: 13.9%
Margin of Safety
¥840.83
-28.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1121.11, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.