KAWAGUCHI CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD.

4361 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Standard
¥1,561.00
-0.57%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4361
KAWAGUCHI CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,561.00
Close used for this calculation
¥3,026.16Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
60/100
Profitability9/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
60Prof.9/25Ret.15/25Eff.25/25B.Sht11/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥3,026.16
Below FV
▲ +93.9% against the close used
Model range ¥365.21 – ¥4,902.20
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥365.21Fair value¥3,026.16Bull¥4,902.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,402.0052W high ¥1,910.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

KAWAGUCHI CHEMICAL INDUSTRY CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,561.00, 48.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,026.16 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 6.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥983.96
-37.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=1.5%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,756.72
+140.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=245.11, BVPS=2559.02
P/E Fair Value
¥4,902.20
+214.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=245.11, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥365.21
-76.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=245.11, g=1.5%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,727.43
+202.8%
(EBITDA × 10.7x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=853.49M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥764.27
-51.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=59.94, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,522.46
+61.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2559.02, ROE=9.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,561.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -8.8% | Historical: 1.5%
Margin of Safety
¥2,410.72
+54.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3214.29, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.