¥947.33
Near FV▼ -14.4% against the close used
Model range ¥351.09 – ¥1,199.03
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥351.09Fair value¥947.33Bull¥1,199.03
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥764.0052W high ¥1,259.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading above the consensus fair value
Simplex Holdings,Inc. closed at ¥1,107.00, 16.9% above the consensus fair value of ¥947.33 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 23.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥902.24
-18.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥351.09
-68.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=46.42, BVPS=118.02 · outside Graham range (P/E 23.9, P/B 9.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥928.40
-16.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=46.42, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,199.03
+8.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=46.42, g=25.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,195.93
+8.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=15.08B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥974.38
-12.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=18.04, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥442.56
-60.0%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=118.02, ROE=21%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,107.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.5% | Historical: 25.8%
Margin of Safety
¥545.43
-50.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=727.24, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.