The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,391.62Fair value¥2,913.48Bull¥4,771.50
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,084.5052W high ¥5,030.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading above the consensus fair value
Mercari,Inc. closed at ¥3,826.00, 31.3% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,913.48 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 49/100 — Average. P/E of 24.1x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,156.99
-17.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,391.62
-63.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=159.05, BVPS=541.16 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.1, P/B 7.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,181.00
-16.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=159.05, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥4,771.50
+24.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=159.05, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,541.75
-33.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=29.67B
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,314.60
-13.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=541.16, ROE=30.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,826.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.6% | Historical: 46.2%
Margin of Safety
¥1,932.40
-49.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2576.54, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.