Global Security Experts Inc.

4417 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Growth
¥4,340.00
-1.70%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4417
Global Security Experts Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥4,340.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,868.97Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
51/100
Profitability21/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency8/25
Growth12/25
Good
Quality radar
51Prof.21/25Ret.11/25Eff.8/25B.Sht11/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,868.97
Above FV
▼ -56.9% against the close used
Model range ¥806.51 – ¥2,965.50
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥806.51Fair value¥1,868.97Bull¥2,965.50
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,230.0052W high ¥4,965.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Global Security Experts Inc. closed at ¥4,340.00, 132.2% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,868.97 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 51/100 — Good. P/E of 43.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,490.81
-65.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥806.51
-81.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=98.85, BVPS=292.45 · outside Graham range (P/E 43.9, P/B 14.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,977.00
-54.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=98.85, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,965.50
-31.7%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=98.85, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,642.92
-39.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.29B
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,467.57
-43.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=292.45, ROE=39.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥4,340.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 17.8% | Historical: 54.5%
Margin of Safety
¥1,068.58
-75.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1424.77, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.