TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD.

4430 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Standard
¥1,750.00
+0.00%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4430
TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥1,750.00
Close used for this calculation
¥4,110.78Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
76/100
Profitability17/25
Returns18/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth22/25
Strong
Quality radar
76Prof.17/25Ret.18/25Eff.25/25B.Sht16/25Growth22/25

Consensus fair value

¥4,110.78
Below FV
▲ +134.9% against the close used
Model range ¥2,528.09 – ¥5,617.93
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥2,528.09Fair value¥4,110.78Bull¥5,617.93
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,572.0052W high ¥2,000.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

TOKAI SOFT CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,750.00, 57.4% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,110.78 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 76/100 — Strong. P/E of 8.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥4,483.34
+156.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,528.09
+44.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=199.65, BVPS=1422.76
P/E Fair Value
¥3,993.00
+128.2%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=199.65, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,771.39
+115.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=199.65, g=18.9%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,617.93
+221.0%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.55B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,505.95
+100.3%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=64.93, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,151.42
+80.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1422.76, ROE=14.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,750.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -4.2% | Historical: 18.9%
Margin of Safety
¥2,751.11
+57.2%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3668.14, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.