Smaregi,Inc.

4431 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Growth
¥3,265.00
-2.68%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4431
Smaregi,Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥3,265.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,684.96Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
66/100
Profitability23/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth12/25
Strong
Quality radar
66Prof.23/25Ret.12/25Eff.10/25B.Sht21/25Growth12/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,684.96
Above FV
▼ -17.8% against the close used
Model range ¥1,140.06 – ¥3,471.30
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,140.06Fair value¥2,684.96Bull¥3,471.30
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,030.0052W high ¥3,805.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Smaregi,Inc. closed at ¥3,265.00, 21.6% above the consensus fair value of ¥2,684.96 drawn from 8 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 66/100 — Strong. P/E of 28.2x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,821.51
-13.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,140.06
-65.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=115.71, BVPS=499.24 · outside Graham range (P/E 28.2, P/B 6.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,314.20
-29.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=115.71, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,471.30
+6.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=115.71, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,431.97
+5.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.68B
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,471.22
-24.3%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=499.24, ROE=25.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,265.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 11.8% | Historical: 41.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,568.94
-51.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2091.92, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.