The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥596.86Fair value¥1,781.84Bull¥3,326.94
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥908.0052W high ¥1,680.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Tobila Systems Inc. closed at ¥1,509.00, 15.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,781.84 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 54/100 — Good. P/E of 24.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥3,326.94
+120.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥596.86
-60.4%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=61.59, BVPS=257.07 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.5, P/B 5.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,231.80
-18.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=61.59, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥790.20
-47.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=61.59, g=12.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥1,630.15
+8.0%
(EBITDA × 16.4x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=1.01B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,148.95
-23.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=21.28, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,208.23
-19.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=257.07, ROE=24.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,509.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.9% | Historical: 12.8%
Margin of Safety
¥1,288.90
-14.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1718.53, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.