NICCA CHEMICAL CO.,LTD.

4463 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Standard
¥1,901.00
-1.66%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4463
NICCA CHEMICAL CO.,LTD.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,901.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,526.90Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
49/100
Profitability6/25
Returns15/25
Balance Sheet8/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth14/25
Average
Quality radar
49Prof.6/25Ret.15/25Eff.20/25B.Sht8/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,526.90
Below FV
▲ +32.9% against the close used
Model range ¥315.59 – ¥3,005.60
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥315.59Fair value¥2,526.90Bull¥3,005.60
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,417.0052W high ¥2,106.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

NICCA CHEMICAL CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,901.00, 24.8% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,526.90 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 49/100 — Average. P/E of 12.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,816.63
+48.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,733.91
+43.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=150.28, BVPS=2210.47
P/E Fair Value
¥3,005.60
+58.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=150.28, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥315.59
-83.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=150.28, g=2.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,684.24
+41.2%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.98B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥765.91
-59.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=60.07, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,241.02
-34.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2210.47, ROE=6.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,901.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 0.9% | Historical: -2.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,139.04
+12.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2852.05, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.