Commerce One Holdings Inc.

4496 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Growth
¥765.00
-1.54%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4496
Commerce One Holdings Inc.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥765.00
Close used for this calculation
¥705.99Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
59/100
Profitability12/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
59Prof.12/25Ret.10/25Eff.16/25B.Sht21/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥705.99
Near FV
▼ -7.7% against the close used
Model range ¥268.23 – ¥856.00
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥268.23Fair value¥705.99Bull¥856.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥677.0052W high ¥853.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Commerce One Holdings Inc. closed at ¥765.00, 8.4% above the consensus fair value of ¥705.99 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 59/100 — Good. P/E of 17.9x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥804.75
+5.2%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥599.47
-21.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=42.8, BVPS=373.17 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.9, P/B 2.1) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥856.00
+11.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=42.8, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥498.19
-34.9%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=42.8, g=11.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥706.80
-7.6%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=504.28M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥268.23
-64.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=21.04, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥469.13
-38.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=373.17, ROE=11.8%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥765.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.6% | Historical: -11.6%
Margin of Safety
¥565.06
-26.1%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=753.41, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.