Astellas Pharma Inc.

4503 TSE Pharmaceuticals Pharmaceutical
TSE Prime
¥2,240.50
+0.61%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4503
Astellas Pharma Inc.
PharmaceuticalsPharmaceutical
¥2,240.50
Close used for this calculation
¥3,809.34Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
71/100
Profitability21/25
Returns14/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth25/25
Strong
Quality radar
71Prof.21/25Ret.14/25Eff.20/25B.Sht16/25Growth25/25

Consensus fair value

¥3,809.34
Below FV
▲ +70.0% against the close used
Model range ¥1,808.07 – ¥5,568.38
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,808.07Fair value¥3,809.34Bull¥5,568.38
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,575.5052W high ¥2,657.50

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Astellas Pharma Inc. closed at ¥2,240.50, 41.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,809.34 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 71/100 — Strong. P/E of 13.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥5,568.38
+148.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,808.07
-19.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=162.77, BVPS=892.63 · outside Graham range (P/E 13.8, P/B 2.5) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,255.40
+45.3%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=162.77, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,875.55
+73.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=162.77, g=23.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,350.73
+49.6%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=382.63B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,210.35
+87.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=77.97, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,543.99
+13.5%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=892.63, ROE=17.4%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,240.50
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.1% | Historical: 23.8%
Margin of Safety
¥2,657.96
+18.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3543.95, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.