The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,920.52Fair value¥3,904.56Bull¥4,822.20
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,399.0052W high ¥3,664.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Shionogi & Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,827.00, 27.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,904.56 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 65/100 — Strong. P/E of 11.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥4,644.64
+64.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,357.26
-16.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=241.11, BVPS=1024.28 · outside Graham range (P/E 11.7, P/B 2.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥4,822.20
+70.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=241.11, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,804.72
+34.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=241.11, g=15.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,296.73
+16.6%
(EBITDA × 17.9x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=193.69B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥3,831.72
+35.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=70.96, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,920.52
-32.1%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1024.28, ROE=13.5%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,827.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -0.1% | Historical: 15.8%
Margin of Safety
¥2,956.03
+4.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3941.37, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.