Otsuka Holdings Co.,Ltd.

4578 TSE Pharmaceuticals Pharmaceutical
TSE Prime
¥11,335.00
-1.13%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4578
Otsuka Holdings Co.,Ltd.
PharmaceuticalsPharmaceutical
¥11,335.00
Close used for this calculation
¥12,616.27Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
64/100
Profitability21/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency12/25
Growth20/25
Good
Quality radar
64Prof.21/25Ret.10/25Eff.12/25B.Sht21/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

¥12,616.27
Near FV
▲ +11.3% against the close used
Model range ¥3,202.53 – ¥20,551.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥3,202.53Fair value¥12,616.27Bull¥20,551.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥7,750.0052W high ¥12,705.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Otsuka Holdings Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥11,335.00, 10.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥12,616.27 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 64/100 — Good. P/E of 16.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥11,822.48
+4.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥5,469.65
-51.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=685.06, BVPS=1940.92 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.6, P/B 5.8) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥13,701.20
+20.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=685.06, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥20,551.80
+81.3%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=685.06, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥19,775.06
+74.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=595.54B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥7,589.92
-33.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=140.55, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,202.53
-71.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1940.92, ROE=12.6%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥11,335.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.6% | Historical: 30.4%
Margin of Safety
¥7,748.33
-31.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=10331.11, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.