The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥2,060.73Fair value¥4,899.62Bull¥7,271.70
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,031.0052W high ¥2,748.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
Nihon Tokushu Toryo Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,615.00, 46.6% below the consensus fair value of ¥4,899.62 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 75/100 — Strong. P/E of 10.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥4,811.20
+84.0%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,937.23
+50.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=242.39, BVPS=2842.39
P/E Fair Value
¥4,847.80
+85.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=242.39, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥7,271.70
+178.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=242.39, g=30%
EV/EBITDA
¥5,545.48
+112.1%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=6.82B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥6,749.84
+158.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=125, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,060.73
-21.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2842.39, ROE=8.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,615.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -1.3% | Historical: 41.7%
Margin of Safety
¥3,399.06
+30.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=4532.08, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.