NATOCO CO.,LTD.

4627 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Standard
¥1,919.00
+0.47%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4627
NATOCO CO.,LTD.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,919.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,665.10Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
62/100
Profitability10/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth14/25
Good
Quality radar
62Prof.10/25Ret.11/25Eff.18/25B.Sht23/25Growth14/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,665.10
Below FV
▲ +38.9% against the close used
Model range ¥702.21 – ¥3,320.05
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥702.21Fair value¥2,665.10Bull¥3,320.05
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,515.0052W high ¥1,964.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

NATOCO CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,919.00, 28.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,665.10 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 12.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,144.03
+63.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,320.05
+73.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=150.62, BVPS=3252.54
P/E Fair Value
¥3,012.40
+57.0%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=150.62, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥1,314.91
-31.5%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=150.62, g=8.7%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,804.25
+46.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.12B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥702.21
-63.4%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=55.08, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥789.90
-58.8%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=3252.54, ROE=4.7%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,919.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 1% | Historical: -8.7%
Margin of Safety
¥2,369.12
+23.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3158.83, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.