Nippon Air Conditioning Services Co.,Ltd.

4658 TSE Industrials Services
TSE Prime
¥1,525.00
-0.26%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4658
Nippon Air Conditioning Services Co.,Ltd.
IndustrialsServices
¥1,525.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,466.99Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
60/100
Profitability13/25
Returns11/25
Balance Sheet16/25
Efficiency20/25
Growth8/25
Good
Quality radar
60Prof.13/25Ret.11/25Eff.20/25B.Sht16/25Growth8/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,466.99
Near FV
▼ -3.8% against the close used
Model range ¥676.06 – ¥2,135.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥676.06Fair value¥1,466.99Bull¥2,135.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,160.0052W high ¥1,713.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

Nippon Air Conditioning Services Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,525.00, 4.0% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,466.99 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 60/100 — Good. P/E of 14.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥676.06
-55.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,455.35
-4.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=106.79, BVPS=881.5 · outside Graham range (P/E 14.3, P/B 1.7) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,135.80
+40.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=106.79, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥746.46
-51.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=106.79, g=7%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,029.23
+33.1%
(EBITDA × 13.5x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.39B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,918.89
+25.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=53.99, r=10%, g=7%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,564.67
+2.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=881.5, ROE=13.1%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,525.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.6% | Historical: 7%
Margin of Safety
¥1,066.80
-30.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1422.4, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.