The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,595.07Fair value¥3,111.70Bull¥4,022.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,479.0052W high ¥2,954.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
FALCO HOLDINGS Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,824.00, 9.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,111.70 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 62/100 — Good. P/E of 14.0x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,871.71
+1.7%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥3,408.26
+20.7%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=201.1, BVPS=2567.27
P/E Fair Value
¥4,022.00
+42.4%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=201.1, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,632.40
-6.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=201.1, g=13.1%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,448.13
+22.1%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=3.56B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,595.07
-43.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=125.1, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,800.76
-36.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=2567.27, ROE=7.9%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,824.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 2.4% | Historical: -13.1%
Margin of Safety
¥2,575.49
-8.8%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3433.99, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.