KeyHolder,Inc.

4712 TSE Industrials Services
TSE Standard
¥803.00
-0.62%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4712
KeyHolder,Inc.
IndustrialsServices
¥803.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,579.38Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
52/100
Profitability15/25
Returns12/25
Balance Sheet15/25
Efficiency10/25
Growth20/25
Good
Quality radar
52Prof.15/25Ret.12/25Eff.10/25B.Sht15/25Growth20/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,579.38
Below FV
▲ +96.7% against the close used
Model range ¥326.22 – ¥3,663.80
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥326.22Fair value¥1,579.38Bull¥3,663.80
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥703.0052W high ¥831.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

KeyHolder,Inc. closed at ¥803.00, 49.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥1,579.38 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 52/100 — Good. P/E of 17.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥3,185.02
+296.6%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥925.99
+15.3%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=45.56, BVPS=836.46
P/E Fair Value
¥911.20
+13.5%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=45.56, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥763.13
-5.0%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=45.56, g=16.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥3,663.80
+356.3%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.07B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥542.03
-32.5%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=10.04, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥326.22
-59.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=836.46, ROE=3.9%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥803.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.4% | Historical: 16.8%
Margin of Safety
¥1,255.55
+56.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1674.07, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.