The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥765.21Fair value¥2,425.07Bull¥3,176.00
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,471.0052W high ¥2,060.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading below the consensus fair value
ALPHA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,471.00, 39.3% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,425.07 drawn from 8 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 47/100 — Average. P/E of 9.3x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥2,976.31
+102.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥2,595.83
+76.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=158.8, BVPS=1885.9
P/E Fair Value
¥3,176.00
+115.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=158.8, Sector P/E=20x
EV/EBITDA
¥1,527.62
+3.8%
(EBITDA × 10x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=247.11M
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥765.21
-48.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=60.02, r=10%, g=2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,562.60
+6.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1885.9, ROE=8.8%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,471.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -3.4% | Historical: 0%
Margin of Safety
¥2,187.04
+48.7%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2916.05, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.