CREEK & RIVER Co.,Ltd.

4763 TSE Industrials Services
TSE Prime
¥1,455.00
-0.95%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4763
CREEK & RIVER Co.,Ltd.
IndustrialsServices
¥1,455.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,904.22Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
76/100
Profitability17/25
Returns23/25
Balance Sheet11/25
Efficiency25/25
Growth22/25
Strong
Quality radar
76Prof.17/25Ret.23/25Eff.25/25B.Sht11/25Growth22/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,904.22
Below FV
▲ +99.6% against the close used
Model range ¥1,529.08 – ¥4,153.85
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥1,529.08Fair value¥2,904.22Bull¥4,153.85
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,213.0052W high ¥1,594.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

CREEK & RIVER Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥1,455.00, 49.9% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,904.22 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 76/100 — Strong. P/E of 7.6x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,529.08
+5.1%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,979.02
+36.0%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=192.61, BVPS=903.73
P/E Fair Value
¥3,852.20
+164.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=192.61, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥3,149.17
+116.4%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=192.61, g=16.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,153.85
+185.5%
(EBITDA × 18x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.52B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥2,702.81
+85.8%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=50.05, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥3,908.62
+168.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=903.73, ROE=23.3%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,455.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: -6.3% | Historical: 16.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,840.07
+26.5%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2453.43, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.