The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Price target range & 52-week position
Bear¥1,992.71Fair value¥3,681.55Bull¥4,858.06
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥2,699.5052W high ¥3,675.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Valuation summary
Trading close to the consensus fair value
OTSUKA CORPORATION closed at ¥3,528.00, 4.2% below the consensus fair value of ¥3,681.55 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 53/100 — Good. P/E of 20.8x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
All valuation models
DCF Valuation
¥4,598.38
+30.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=9%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,992.71
-43.5%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=169.58, BVPS=1040.71 · outside Graham range (P/E 20.8, P/B 3.4) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥3,391.60
-3.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=169.58, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥2,145.19
-39.2%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=169.58, g=12.7%
EV/EBITDA
¥4,263.02
+20.8%
(EBITDA × 16.3x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=99.28B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥4,858.06
+37.7%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=89.96, r=10%, g=8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥2,809.91
-20.4%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1040.71, ROE=16.8%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥3,528.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 7.7% | Historical: 12.7%
Margin of Safety
¥2,495.67
-29.3%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=3327.56, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.