EM SYSTEMS CO.,LTD.

4820 TSE Technology Information & Communication
TSE Prime
¥583.00
+0.17%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4820
EM SYSTEMS CO.,LTD.
TechnologyInformation & Communication
¥583.00
Close used for this calculation
¥620.33Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
67/100
Profitability15/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency18/25
Growth10/25
Strong
Quality radar
67Prof.15/25Ret.13/25Eff.18/25B.Sht21/25Growth10/25

Consensus fair value

¥620.33
Near FV
▲ +6.4% against the close used
Model range ¥269.34 – ¥1,748.62
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥269.34Fair value¥620.33Bull¥1,748.62
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥484.0052W high ¥834.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading close to the consensus fair value

EM SYSTEMS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥583.00, 6.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥620.33 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 16.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥284.07
-51.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥484.55
-16.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=35.44, BVPS=294.44 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.5, P/B 2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥708.80
+21.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=35.44, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥269.34
-53.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=35.44, g=7.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥949.75
+62.9%
(EBITDA × 13.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.76B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,748.62
+199.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=39, r=10%, g=7.6%
Book Value (P/B)
¥441.67
-24.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=294.44, ROE=12%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥583.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.5% | Historical: 7.6%
Margin of Safety
¥369.36
-36.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=492.47, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.