¥620.33
Near FV▲ +6.4% against the close used
Model range ¥269.34 – ¥1,748.62
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.
Bear¥269.34Fair value¥620.33Bull¥1,748.62
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥484.0052W high ¥834.00
The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.
Trading close to the consensus fair value
EM SYSTEMS CO.,LTD. closed at ¥583.00, 6.0% below the consensus fair value of ¥620.33 drawn from 9 valuation models.
Financial DNA score 67/100 — Strong. P/E of 16.5x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.
Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.
DCF Valuation
¥284.07
-51.3%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=7.6%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥484.55
-16.9%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=35.44, BVPS=294.44 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.5, P/B 2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥708.80
+21.6%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=35.44, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥269.34
-53.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=35.44, g=7.6%
EV/EBITDA
¥949.75
+62.9%
(EBITDA × 13.8x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=4.76B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥1,748.62
+199.9%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=39, r=10%, g=7.6%
Book Value (P/B)
¥441.67
-24.2%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=294.44, ROE=12%, g=6%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥583.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.5% | Historical: 7.6%
Margin of Safety
¥369.36
-36.6%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=492.47, MoS=25%
Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.
Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.