Lion Corporation

4912 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥1,737.00
-0.40%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4912
Lion Corporation
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,737.00
Close used for this calculation
¥1,463.89Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
53/100
Profitability11/25
Returns10/25
Balance Sheet18/25
Efficiency14/25
Growth4/25
Good
Quality radar
53Prof.11/25Ret.10/25Eff.14/25B.Sht18/25Growth4/25

Consensus fair value

¥1,463.89
Above FV
▼ -15.7% against the close used
Model range ¥380.01 – ¥2,474.62
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥380.01Fair value¥1,463.89Bull¥2,474.62
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,504.0052W high ¥1,909.50

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

Lion Corporation closed at ¥1,737.00, 18.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥1,463.89 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 53/100 — Good. P/E of 17.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥1,201.92
-30.8%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=3.8%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,319.17
-24.1%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=99.74, BVPS=775.45 · outside Graham range (P/E 17.4, P/B 2.2) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥1,994.80
+14.8%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=99.74, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥380.01
-78.1%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=99.74, g=3.8%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,474.62
+42.5%
(EBITDA × 11.9x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=57.49B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥503.96
-71.0%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=30.05, r=10%, g=3.8%
Book Value (P/B)
¥650.17
-62.6%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=775.45, ROE=9%, g=3.8%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,737.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 5.3% | Historical: 3.8%
Margin of Safety
¥1,128.97
-35.0%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=1505.3, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.