COTA CO.,LTD.

4923 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥1,203.00
-0.66%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4923
COTA CO.,LTD.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥1,203.00
Close used for this calculation
¥825.61Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
53/100
Profitability13/25
Returns8/25
Balance Sheet21/25
Efficiency11/25
Growth4/25
Good
Quality radar
53Prof.13/25Ret.8/25Eff.11/25B.Sht21/25Growth4/25

Consensus fair value

¥825.61
Above FV
▼ -31.4% against the close used
Model range ¥206.44 – ¥985.40
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥206.44Fair value¥825.61Bull¥985.40
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,053.3352W high ¥1,379.05

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading above the consensus fair value

COTA CO.,LTD. closed at ¥1,203.00, 45.7% above the consensus fair value of ¥825.61 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 53/100 — Good. P/E of 24.4x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥867.23
-27.9%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=4.2%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥678.14
-43.6%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=49.27, BVPS=414.83 · outside Graham range (P/E 24.4, P/B 2.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥985.40
-18.1%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=49.27, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥206.44
-82.8%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=49.27, g=4.2%
EV/EBITDA
¥957.11
-20.4%
(EBITDA × 12.1x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=2.31B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥358.12
-70.2%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=19.97, r=10%, g=4.2%
Book Value (P/B)
¥579.05
-51.9%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=414.83, ROE=12.3%, g=4.2%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥1,203.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 9.8% | Historical: 4.2%
Margin of Safety
¥632.69
-47.4%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=843.59, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.