Shinnihonseiyaku Co.,Ltd.

4931 TSE Chemicals Chemicals
TSE Prime
¥2,009.00
-0.74%
Delayed · cached 15 min

Fair value analysis

4931
Shinnihonseiyaku Co.,Ltd.
ChemicalsChemicals
¥2,009.00
Close used for this calculation
¥2,322.12Fair value
Financial DNA Score
Profitability · Returns · Balance Sheet · Efficiency · Growth
63/100
Profitability11/25
Returns13/25
Balance Sheet23/25
Efficiency16/25
Growth9/25
Good
Quality radar
63Prof.11/25Ret.13/25Eff.16/25B.Sht23/25Growth9/25

Consensus fair value

¥2,322.12
Below FV
▲ +15.6% against the close used
Model range ¥289.15 – ¥2,962.99
The lowest and highest of the models that produced a value. This is the spread of the methods, not a price target.

Price target range & 52-week position

Bear¥289.15Fair value¥2,322.12Bull¥2,962.99
FairClose
52-week traded range
52W low ¥1,860.0052W high ¥2,369.00

The 52-week range is measured from the stored price history, not estimated.

Valuation summary

Trading below the consensus fair value

Shinnihonseiyaku Co.,Ltd. closed at ¥2,009.00, 13.5% below the consensus fair value of ¥2,322.12 drawn from 9 valuation models.

Financial DNA score 63/100 — Good. P/E of 16.7x against the 20x sector multiple the P/E model uses.

Quantitative summary only — not investment advice.

All valuation models

DCF Valuation
¥2,962.99
+47.5%
Σ[CF×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV/(1.10)^10
g=2.4%, r=10%, tg=3%, n=10yr
Graham Number
¥1,711.13
-14.8%
√(22.5 × EPS × BVPS)
EPS=120.48, BVPS=1080.11 · outside Graham range (P/E 16.7, P/B 1.9) — asset-light, treat as a rough floor
P/E Fair Value
¥2,409.60
+19.9%
EPS × 20x (sector P/E)
EPS=120.48, Sector P/E=20x
Peter Lynch (PEG)
¥289.15
-85.6%
EPS × Growth% (PEG = 1 is fair)
EPS=120.48, g=2.4%
EV/EBITDA
¥2,691.79
+34.0%
(EBITDA × 11.2x − Net Debt) ÷ Shares
EBITDA=5.1B
Dividend Discount (DDM)
¥701.08
-65.1%
D1 ÷ (r − g) where D1 = D0×(1+g)
D0=52.03, r=10%, g=2.4%
Book Value (P/B)
¥1,311.56
-34.7%
BVPS × (ROE−g)÷(r−g) [Justified P/B — RIM-based]
BVPS=1080.11, ROE=11.5%, g=3%, r=10%
Reverse DCF
¥2,009.00
+0.0%
Solve for g: Price = Σ[EPS×(1+g)^n/(1.10)^n] + TV
Implied: 4.7% | Historical: 2.4%
Margin of Safety
¥1,770.93
-11.9%
Avg(DCF, Graham, P/E) × 75% (25% safety buffer)
Avg fair value=2361.24, MoS=25%

Computed on September 12, 2026 from the most recent annual report on file and that day's closing price. Where a company has seen its earnings move sharply since its last annual report, this figure will lag the market.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.

Educational data only. Not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security.